Sorting It Out

aerial view of dry corn field in Brazil

Third Week of February 2024

CORN: Some weather forecasters are leaning toward dry weather for South America in March, with their monsoon possibly ending a bit early. If realized, this could be concerning for the safrinha corn crop getting started in Brazil. Traders and importers are aware of the calendar, which seasonally the grains tend

Elevating complex for transshipment of grain and oilseeds as part of a reloading terminal. Transportation of agricultural products and port cranes - Image

Second Week of February 2024

CORN: This week is setting up for potential volatility with several key countries in the global markets on holiday, along with the USDA Ag Outlook Forum later in the week. The Chinese and well as several Asian grain markets are closed for their Lunar New Year holiday, and the South

A group of Angus beef cows along a fenceline bathed in late afternoon golden light.

First Week of February 2024

CORN: Thursday, February 8th is the next USDA report, which features updated Supply/Demand projections. The average trade estimate for 2023/24 US Grain Ending Stocks in corn is 2.148 billion bushels, which would be a slight decrease from January’s estimate of 2.162 billion. For the 2023/24 World Crop Production estimates traders

This photo was taken in the area of Sierra de la Ventana, Buenos Aires Province

Last Week of January 2024

CORN: New Chinese economic concerns are weakening grain prices to start the week, on top of signs of slowing export sales in the corn market. This sets up the potential for lower Chinese demand for agricultural products. The CBOT corn prices had started on a path of trending higher last

Soybean harvest with harvester in southern Brazil

Third Week of January 2024

CORN: With the final US crop estimate out for 2022-23, traders can now focus solidly on demand and the South American weather and production. US farmers are likely to continue to hold grain as long as possible or until prices reflect positive profits. This should help support basis levels. The

View inside a large corn and grain storage warehouse.

Second Week of January 2024

CORN: Trade estimates for Friday’s USDA report in US Ending Stocks for 2023/2024 Corn, are 2.111 billion bushels. This is down from 2.131 billion bushels in the last report, but higher than a year ago at 1.361 billion bushels. The total 2023/24 Corn Production is estimated to be 15.226 billion

Cows feeding from a trough of hay

First Week of January 2024

CORN: Current weather forecasts are predicting a shift or change in the weather that Brazil has been experiencing for months. If fully realized it would bring normal rainfall to areas that have been experiencing extreme heat and dryness and would allow farmers to proceed with planting their second crop corn

Third Week of December 2023

CORN: The CBOT corn futures continue to teeter-totter between wheat and soybean futures. Typically, this period going into Christmas through the New Years holiday, can experience extremely low volume trading, resulting in exaggerated moves. Corn has taken on the role of following the other grains due to a large carryover

Beautiful aerial view of the Beautiful aerial view of the Panama

Second Week of December 2023

CORN: The CBOT corn futures are mostly choppy, as they follow either wheat or soybean futures on any given day. Last week’s USDA report was neutral for corn, with a slight cut in carryover from the November report, and that was expected by traders. Grain shipping from the US Gulf