Sorting It Out

Group of cows at cowshed eating hay or fodder on dairy farm.

Third Week of May 2024

CORN: Last Friday’s USDA report saw bigger cuts in old crop corn carryover than traders expected. This may have traders watching the June report extra close to see if the US will find any extra corn acres, otherwise we may be heading into a tight global corn situation quickly. For

Second Week of May 2024

CORN: Friday, May 10th USDA will release data that includes Supply/Demand updated reports. Traders will likely be cautious in expectations of the USDA making significant changes in the data, given their track record for the past several months of delaying changes. This report could quickly be faded due to the

Tire tracks with rainwater in arable field under dark cloudy sky

First Week of May 2024

CORN: The expiration of May contracts in grain futures is upon us, with first notice tomorrow. This will bring focus to the July contract as the front month now going forward. Focus on weather around the globe is in the spotlight currently, for corn it is finishing the crop season

Pig looking into lens of camera

Third Week of April 2024

CORN: The big surprise to traders in last week’s WASDE report for corn was how little USDA trimmed the US corn carryover, and that they left the Argentina corn crop estimates unchanged. Traders were looking for 2.102 billion bushels for corn carry, and USDA came out with 2.122 billion bushels.

Soybean Harvest in Argentina

Second Week of April 2024

CORN: Choppy two-sided trade is expected in the grains as traders position themselves for the upcoming USDA Crop Production and Supply & Demand Reports this Thursday, April 11th. This report will include South America as well as US & Global Ending Stocks. The following are trade estimates for this report:

Interior of a storage brin with of corn

First Week of April 2024

CORN: Last Friday’s USDA Prospective Planting Intensions Report and the US Quarterly Grain Stocks report were full of surprises. As you chew on this data and put it into perspective, you will see that lower corn acres could potentially see a lower US carryover, unless we have record yields. With

cattle

Fourth Week of March 2024

CORN: Thursday is the USDA report where we see the US 24/25 Prospective Planting Intentions acres. Traders are looking for fewer corn acres than last year, as well as slightly fewer acres than the USDA Feb. Outlook conference number. Also keep in mind that acres can shift (after this report)

Feedlot Cattle in the Snow, Muck and Mud

Third Week of March 2024

CORN: We are currently in the time frame of waiting to see how the South American corn crops turn out and for the release of the Prospective Planting Report in the US. This points to potential choppy trade in corn futures. The following are areas to pay attention to: Weather

green corn field in agricultural garden and light shines sunset

Second Week of March 2024

CORN: The recent USDA report proved to be another scratch in terms of making any significant changes to South America or the world spreadsheets. Traders are less likely to assume there will be measurable data changes until late season or even after the fact when USDA needs to adjust their